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View Full Version : April 13, 2029 could be they day you die, Marry X-mas



muchspl2
12-24-2004, 10:00 PM
Numerous readers wrote in with bits about a potential asteroid collision: "The recently discovered asteroid 2004 MN4 is currently listed as having a 1/233 chance of hitting the Earth. It is 420 m across and if it strikes the Earth it will release an energy of 1,900 Megatons of TNT (the largest nuclear weapon ever detonated, Tsar Bomba had a yield of only 50 Megatons). It is also the only asteroid that currently has a Torino scale value of 2." So, in summary, there's a 1-in-233 chance of the worst disaster in recorded history happening on April 13, 2029, and a 232-in-233 chance of nothing happening. Have a nice day
http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=04/12/24/1518210&from=rss

Mr. Mulder
12-24-2004, 10:05 PM
but The X Files said it would be 2012 due to the invasion? :unsure:

tesco
12-24-2004, 10:12 PM
:ohmy::ohmy::ohmy:

muchspl2
12-24-2004, 10:24 PM
2+0=2+9 = 13 & its also friday the 13 :/

Virtualbody1234
12-24-2004, 10:34 PM
Only 420 m across? What will be left of it after the burn from the atmosphere? If it even does get here.

muchspl2
12-24-2004, 10:45 PM
IDK http://www.rednova.com/news/display/?id=113784 has more info.

Samurai
12-25-2004, 12:02 AM
Update: 12/24 22:14 GMT by M: The rock is now rated a 4 on the Torino scale, or a 1-in-62 chance of impact. :01:

Samurai
12-25-2004, 12:04 AM
We'd have better luck either moving the astroid or abandoning Earth.

If we route emergency power through the deflector dish, we should be able to create a warp bubble that would temporaril lower the gravitaional constant around the asteroid. That way we could use the ships tractor beam to slightly alter the asteroids trajectory. It won't be much, but I think it will be enough.


LMAO :lol: :lol:

Monkeee
12-25-2004, 12:29 AM
LMAO :lol: :lol:

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

anyways We"RE DOOMED

Samurai
12-25-2004, 12:40 AM
tbh we should have spaceships by now, or at least be looking into building them rather than looking to build the world's longest bridges or whatever...

HCT
12-25-2004, 01:10 AM
it does not look 24 years away http://www.rednova.com/modules/imglib/download.php?Url=/modules/news/upload/8b162a2b5d6933a8959fbecf47e77735.jpg

muchspl2
12-25-2004, 05:18 AM
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/images/2004mn4b.gif
say goodnight gracie

muchspl2
12-25-2004, 06:47 PM
its now been updated 60 to 1 chance of hitting us :(

Cheese
12-25-2004, 09:07 PM
Bruce Willis will be way too old to sort it out by then. :(

enoughfakefiles
12-25-2004, 09:18 PM
Bruce Willis will be way too old to sort it out by then. :(

Didn`t he die blowing up the last big rock that was gonna hit us. :blink:

Snee
12-25-2004, 09:43 PM
I may leave a slot open in my calendar for that day then.


Nice to get it all over and done with anyhow.

Snee
12-26-2004, 06:06 PM
On TV they said the chance of it hitting was 1 in 60 now, Hooray :)

I refuse to marry X-mas tho'.

EDit: yes I know it was said before but now it's official 'cos it was on the telly.

Samurai
12-26-2004, 06:13 PM
Update: 12/24 22:14 GMT by M: The rock is now rated a 4 on the Torino scale, or a 1-in-62 chance of impact.

Spam-King
12-26-2004, 07:32 PM
we need homer simpson

Spam-King
12-26-2004, 07:43 PM
my question is how did the predict the odds?

Biggles
12-26-2004, 08:28 PM
What !!


Interestingly 4+9 is also 13 - how spooky is that? :blink:

cpt_azad
12-26-2004, 08:32 PM
LMAO :lol: :lol:

mr. zulu impulse engines

scotty full power to shields (scotty: it's no good sir! i can't reach teh controls!)

muchspl2
12-27-2004, 09:39 AM
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ip?2.7e-02

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/2004mn4.html

muchspl2
12-27-2004, 08:11 PM
since no one read it, its now @ 2.700000000% chance of Earth impact or 1 in 37 chance.

Samurai
12-27-2004, 08:15 PM
wow. the way the figures are coming down, it's looking to land on my porch sometime next week during noon and supper. time to get my gf's parents round :01:

manker
12-27-2004, 08:25 PM
Meh, the Mayan society said that the end of our time will come in 2012. They're right too.

In 2029 the only thing left will be algae and stoats - and who cares about stoats.

muchspl2
12-27-2004, 09:28 PM
I've heard that about the Mayans, but isn't the year different that our year, so its debatable when their year started and ours.

Snee
12-27-2004, 09:39 PM
Don't Jehova's witnesses have a date set around that time too?


Also, this was fun-> http://www.lpl.arizona.edu/impacteffects/

Smith
12-27-2004, 11:09 PM
meh, if it happens it happens

manker
12-27-2004, 11:34 PM
I've heard that about the Mayans, but isn't the year different that our year, so its debatable when their year started and ours.Well, it's all to do with their star charts and the procession of the equinoxes. It's been established that the doomsday that they referred to was December the 21st 2012.

Also for every near earth asteroid that has been discovered, there are at least 20 similar undiscovered asteroids cruising around our solar system. I'd say that there is a good chance of an undiscovered one posing more of a threat than the one you outlined.

Doom-mongering rawks :01:

Biggles
12-27-2004, 11:49 PM
Well, it's all to do with their star charts and the procession of the equinoxes. It's been established that the doomsday that they referred to was December the 21st 2012.

Also for every near earth asteroid that has been discovered, there are at least 20 similar undiscovered asteroids cruising around our solar system. I'd say that there is a good chance of an undiscovered one posing more of a threat than the one you outlined.

Doom-mongering rawks :01:

We're all doooomed I tell you!

:lol:

I have just the right accent for this :lol: My time has come :01:

muchspl2
12-28-2004, 12:21 AM
Well, it's all to do with their star charts and the procession of the equinoxes. It's been established that the doomsday that they referred to was December the 21st 2012.

Also for every near earth asteroid that has been discovered, there are at least 20 similar undiscovered asteroids cruising around our solar system. I'd say that there is a good chance of an undiscovered one posing more of a threat than the one you outlined.

Doom-mongering rawks :01:

:cool2: I love the info, ever been to CHICHEN ITZA, my friend went year ago and saw the sacrificial sites he had some great pics, really cool.

manker
12-28-2004, 12:37 AM
:cool2: I love the info, ever been to CHICHEN ITZA, my friend went year ago and saw the sacrificial sites he had some great pics, really cool.Never been there, or anywhere connected to that culture, but from the pics and things I've read it would be an awesome place to visit. Your friend is a lucky bloke.

muchspl2
12-28-2004, 01:06 AM
its really cheap if you live in the south, like under 700 for a all inclusive cruise
maybe next year I will go.

Spicker
12-28-2004, 02:24 AM
we are all gona die some day...might as well be 2029 :01: