The same people that voted Bush previously will for the most part vote that way again but.....
There are some that say Bush galvanizes the religious right and rich folk. The problem is Bush had them already.
Has he gained much new support? The answer is a resounding no.
If anything he turned away voters that previously supported him.
If you were previously a Bush supporter and are gay you just might vote Kerry.
If you were previously a Bush supporter and are military you just might vote Kerry.
Only the stauchest Bush supporter or Republican can be counted now.
Here's another tidbit, keeping in mind that folks that disliked Clinton didn't want Gore so there are no new vote pickups on the elephant side.
Keep in mind Bush won before by a "cunt hair". (I just heard that one today at the CNN building )
The Democrats, on the other hand have picked up something very fresh and new....
the non-voter..........and they are doing it en masse.
There is such an uproar against Bush that folks that previously sat on their collective asses on election day are now ready to rise up and vote (and get stoned later).
So not only is the swing voter most likely going to swing Kerry's way but an untapped demographic (the non-voter) is in essence now "tapped"....AND don't forget that last time it was a supremely close race...
Stick a fork in'em. Bush is fucked.
(and Dick is cut)
If he wins it would have to be a steal.