I agree, mostly. However, Sony hopes to make it's money on games. Eventually as manufacturing costs go down, they make money on the console too. Also, there is more incentive for Sony since the PS3 is a Trojan Horse for new media format supremacy.
Imagine if Blu-Ray wins out and is the movie (and even PC) standard around PS4 time.
I can't see the public going for another better movie standard than the winner (between HD-DVD or Blu-Ray) in only 7 more years. I mean the generation of HD players pretty much matches up against the HDTV standard (except technically the discs can look better than the broadcasts...for now).
Nintendo would still problably remain last gen. The Super Nintendo was great but since then they have been a disappointment.
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