Will BT die ?

never!

It's going to take a lot for it to die. I reckon 10-15 years.

hmm... 40% for Never..

no

I guess it will take 5 years in dissappear.

i think at least 10...

I think it will end up like other systems have, as it gets to be a more widely used system it will get regulated and policed just like cable tv did, and as much of the internet is starting to get too.
Will it be surpassed by something else? Sure will, people always have shared things(Tape recordings etc) as long as it was easy with minimal risk.
or it will be fragmented and sharing will continue through smaller and more obscure systems either encrypted server/client like KDX or something like Hamachi.



Until then, long live the sneakernet:P
400mb/sec of USB>internet

who knows whats coming next, but i think it will last more than 20 years so i voted never

I voted for when u wish bt dies, never

Everything comes to an end ... but will eventually be replaced by some other form of filesharing.

It's the spirit of sharing they cannot destroy and as long as that spirit is alive people will continue working on other P2P-applications to continue sharing their files.

ISP's can and do indeed already throttle bandwith when it come to BT-traffic. This will just continue to augment until it is virtually impossible to use it for most people. BT will pay the price for it's own success. That's what always happens when one filesharing method becomes very popular.

The only thing to do is to get an alternative for when it's time ends.

who cares?

dunno

I think it will live till it gets replaced by superior ways of sharing files

Of course it will die, it's just a matter of time.
I can see myself at my 80s telling my nerd grandsons something like "back in the beginning of the century, real men used BT!" :D
Sad but true, I don't give the bt world any more than 5 years... it's getting too much attention and too much popularity

I hope NEVER :(:(

never !!!

Never :D

who is alice ?

BT will always be around in a way or another. :D

5-10 years max. Speeds get higher and higher, people get lazier and lazier...bound to happen. Hope I can still find some good communities though :D

i think itll be replaced in bout 5 years and die in 15. new protocols are already in development and are targeted for better security and speed. for example http://torrentfreak.com/the-pirate-b...orrent-071030/

its just a matter of time before something better than bt comes out; example- like fasttrack, Gnutella, and eDonkey, will get less popular.

10 years maybe?

Yeah I think it will die when the music and film industry will finally join the business :D
Everything Dies.

Within 10 years it will be replaced by something better

I think it will be replaced by something more fascinating.

I think that their will be a "better" alternative in 5 years or less as long as isp bandwidths keep up with demand.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Skizo

Bittorrent only hurts the ISPs via enormous bandwidth usage. There is no advantage for them, even if you're looking at total profits through a customer base.

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What's so much better about Usenet? Still needs a lot of traffic doesn't it? Why shouldn't they just cut access to any newsgroup, filter nntp raw and encrypted.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Skizo

And yes, Linux users and others will roll over or they'll simply stop using the Internet.

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Linux users stop using the internet?? :blink:
I think they might pay a lot more to get real internet without boundaries.
Linux is about freedom in informational world, I don't think they will easily settle with a worse-than-AOL provider.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by CowboyDave

How about anonymous file sharing is there any possibility of one these protocols making it big anytime soon?

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Don't think so, they suck away a mulitple of traffic compared to BitTorrent (and even this gets fighted by the ISPs which don't deliver what they offer).

Quote:

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Originally Posted by koolyt

file sharers are the primary cause of technological advances in residential broadband, which ISP's are able to charge premiums for. [..] "would you have a 10mbit pipe and pay $50/mo. for it?"

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Yes I think the same. If I'd only surf then even 1Mbit is sufficient.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Skizo

With major ISPs such as AT&T and Comcast already throttling or eliminating the use of bittorrent on their lines altogether, it would seem that the bittorrent ship will sail sooner than many people had originally thought.

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Then we don't only lose BitTorrent but also for the first time we'd lose network neutrality / the free network.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by p1r4t3

so close fst, and make bt secure

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You would destroy a lot of the p2p spirit just the same time.
Scene doesn't want any private trackers to operate with their files, but they do it anyway - and the same time there will always be communities that will discuss trackers, also if the trackers wish to be a top-secret and exclusive place. I don't think private sites should claim too much because they usually violate the same rules with their existence.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Skizo

Throttling all downloads of any type just doesn't make sense. Heck, every time a web page loads, you're downloading from the Internet. :dabs:

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They could well use some traffic shaping. Like when you start downloading a file through http, it will have full-speed. It will have that for the first 15 sec or however you set it. After that time, the speed will drop exponentially. This will not affect surfing the web or loading pages, it also shouldn't affect Videoportals when applied correctly. It would only slow the downloading of large files. On the other side, if they will never do something like this to http, then using Rapidshare or similar will always be a good method to receive the files.

I don't know about the future, there might well be change but I don't see it in the next time. BitTorrent has what we need and there are already many good clients / trackers. What would we further need at this point to share the files via p2p, I don't think we desperately wait for something specific so I also don't think that BitTorrent will get grounded so soon. Perhaps one day a developer gets a bright idea how to improve, probably this is going to happen, and then we will use this new technology.. but I can't say when or what that would be.

I agree with the others, the idea of filesharing will never die, there will always be ways.

About Usenet, it's a paradise today, and delivers perfectly what we need currently. Protection through good privacy, speed down the asymmetric lines, and their traffic is not filtered. But in the remote future, I can't see why newsgroups should be essentially superior over other methods that might come up - basic conditions might change in the future.

I don't think it will die soon.

it may be gets developed and be better.

i think 3-5 years until a new technology of download will come until that
BT rulezzzzzzzzzz

Hard to say... BT will only die when and if leechers find a more effective protocol

Another 10 years...

BT will never die as it is almost impossible to be crack down . The core reason lies the fact that it is operated through users as mediums and trackers are only platforms. So as long as there are users left there will always be BT.

maybe 20 years

well i think that will survive in 10-15years