ffs. One of these again. Always a treat.
Anyone who speaks with absolute certainty about whether there is, or isn't a god, a set of gods, or virtually anything else which is unknowable at this point in time is wasting energy. I don't even know who came up with the initial archetype(s) that spawned most modern religions, so it's impossible to say what the initial parameters were.
Personally, I couldn't even start calculating the odds either way, and from what I know, neither could anyone else. But it's good for pissing people off on the internets. On discussion boards it's usually more fun trolling the atheists, though. Everyone can point out the inconsistencies with modern religions, but they'll generally get pretty worked up the first time they run into the idea that them saying there isn't a god/whatever without proof is them believing something too. But I can and have argued on either side, whichever seemed to be underrepresented, or had the most douchebags present.
However, instinctively I'd say that the more specific the religious belief, the more unlikely it is to turn out to be true.
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