That certainly makes it more difficult, OMC, as you are (I think) premising this all on the continuation of policies which arose from the Reagan presidency.
I believe it is true that, with the threat of SDA and the defense build-up (which was not much more than a re-fit after Vietnam- and Carter-inspired dry-rot), we spent the Soviets into a hole they couldn't find their way out of, and this led to glasnost and perestroika.
These developments would not have occurred otherwise.
In the scenario you describe, I think things would have happened more-or-less as they have.
I don't know that I've shared any files with anyone in Russia, but who knows?
Do we have any Russians on-board?
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